فرصة شراء مؤشر الاسهم الامريكية اي ميني اس ان بي بارباح 300%

Reward/Risk نسبة الربح	Pips عدد النقاط	Clsing الاغلاق	Target الهدف	Exit الخروج	Entry الدخول	Symbol الاداة المالية	Time الساعة	Date التاريخ
306%	3.00	2186.25	2186.25	2182.27	2183.25	Emini S&P	2:00 AM	9/7/2016

فرصة شراء للأداة المالية دولار الامريكي/الجنية الاسترليني (GBP/USD) بمعدل ربح 225%

فرصة شراء  للأداة المالية دولار الامريكي/الجنية الاسترليني (GBP/USD) بمعدل ربح 225%

المعلومات التالية هي تفاصيل العملية:

نسبة الربح	عدد النقاط	الاغلاق	الهدف	الخروج	الدخول	الاداة المالية	الساعة	التاريخ
225%	-0.0027	1.3326	1.3326	1.3287	1.3299	GBP/USD	7 am	5/9/2016

تم اغلاق الفرصة عند الخط الاخضر بسبب وجود اعلان خلال ساعة يتعلق في الجنيه الاسترليني، للابتعاد عن المخاطرة واحتمالية التأثير السلبي على فرصتنا، تم الخروج بارباح بمعدل 225%. الاخبار عادة تعبث بالنمط السعري وتدمر البيئة المناسبة للفرصة التجارية.

Updates on Middle East Stock Markets

In our last month article, we ended our analysis of Middle East Stock Markets with the following questions: “Will the bullishness sentiment sustain and penetrate the monthly timeframe to allow Middle East markets to enjoy a bullish market? Or is this enhancement temporary and just a major pullback trying to continue its previous direction to go bearish again?”.

The answer is that the Middle East Markets were going through a major pullback that took six months to be completed. It was a temporary bullish that helped the market to recover for couple of months. However, there is low probability it will continue bearish. The major pullback was paving for the market to recover in the long run. It is the transition from bearish to bullish. There is a high probably that it will get into new stage of consolidation for the upcoming weeks to start changing the monthly sentiment to bullish. To support our analysis, we will use three different approaches: iChimoku Heatmap, Color Code Aggregation and Charts.

We will start with the iChimoku Heatmap graph that is generated from our website. It shows the higher timeframes sentiment of Middle East stock markets for the past months. We will concentrate on the daily and weekly timeframes and exclude the monthly since it is a short period.  

According to the above, the major pullback started in January and ended in August. Both months have almost the same color codes (Red and Amber) that covering most of the table. The middle tables show the bullishness. In Feb, the green cells covered all daily timeframes and change the status of the weekly paving the way for the next month. In April, the green cells penetrate the weekly and trying to reach the monthly timeframes. In July, Daily and Weekly timeframes are completely green with few exceptions.

The second approach is the color code aggregation graph shown below. It shows number of Green cells vs Red cells over the past months. You can clearly see that the green cells were higher in March, April and July. Red cells took control in Jan and August. 

Our last approach is the charts. The following are screen shot of Weekly timeframe for some of the Middle East Markets to show the major pullback occurred.

Figure 7: eSignal Weekly Chart of Dubai Financial Market

Figure 7: eSignal Weekly Chart of Kuwait Financial Market

Figure 7: eSignal Weekly Chart of Oman Financial Market

In conclusion, the Middle East Markets had a major pullback that ended in August 2016. There is a low probability that these markets will go bearish again with the same steepness. The upcoming months will be a consolidation phase. The consolidation might continue till begging of next year.

Middle East Markets – Quarterly Comparison

In this article, we would to show the progress in the Middle East stock markets. We will use the iChimoku Heatmap to compare the first month of each quarter to present the sentiment for the higher timeframe (daily, weekly and monthly) as shown below. 

We can identify several observations from the above graphs. First observation is the gradual increase in the green cells (bullish sentiment) across the tables. At the begging of the 2016, the green cell was only covering the daily timeframe and only portion of the Middle East markets like Kuwait, Dubai, Qatar and Oman. In the 2^nd quarter, the green cells penetrate the weekly timeframe and start to create some balance between the two sentiments. And not only the bullishness reached the weekly, but also affected some of the monthly timeframe to change from bearishness to neutral like Kuwait. The 3^rd quarter is almost fully covered with green across all markets except the monthly timeframe.

The second observation is that Kuwait and Saudi Arabia are considered the worst cases and the market status is deteriorated comparing with last month. On the other hand, Bahrain which was the worst market in terms of performance, now become one of the best.

The question remains: Will the bullishness sentiment sustain and penetrate the monthly timeframe and Middle East will enjoy a bullish market? Or is this enhancement temporary and just a major pullback for the Middle East markets and trying to continue its previous direction to go bearish again?

To sum up, Middle East markets have progress a lot since 2016. The next step is to align the monthly timeframe direction with the daily and weekly. We believe that there is a window for the Middle East markets to continue the progress and enjoy bullishness till Oct 2016, given that the oil prices sustain it levels or higher. In Oct, the bearish sentiment will increase and we will require another detailed analysis to confirm whether the current progress is a major pullback or consolidation toward bullish trend.

Our Expectations were true about Qatar Market ...

Over the last couple of months, we covered Qatar financial markets several times and forecasted the market reaction to the oil price changes. The following graph was posted in March 2016:

Figure 1: eSignal Weekly Chart of Qatar Market for March 2016

Our forecast was true and Qatar market followed the path we have drawn last time. We have predicted a bullishness in April and June and bearishness in May along with the levels. There was a lag of one week between our forecast and actual performance. The changes in these month occurred one week before comparing to our estimation. To give you more insight about the differences, we have attached the following graph that shows the current status of the market (Bars) and the forecasted movement (blue line).

Figure 2: eSignal Weekly Chart of Qatar Market for March 2016

The market was consolidating between 10400 and 9480 levels. There were two windows of opportunity to go bullish. The first window was supposed to start in April, however it decided to go bullish earlier and started in the 4^th week of March. It got back to the resistance level but could not break it. The second window was June 2016. The timing was matching but the bullishness was not strong enough to bring back the market to the same resistance in one month, so it will continue going bullish to hit the resistance. The bearish sentiment increased as expected in May pushing down the prices to go down against the monthly timeframe.

As for the upcoming weeks, there is high probability that the market will continue its current sentiment and go bullish to reach the major resistance at 10440. The monthly timeframe is supporting the weekly to break that resistance. If it breaks it, it will go to the next major resistance at 11212. However the price should get to the new level before October 2016 because the conflict between weekly and monthly will start in October and it might repeat the consolidation pattern. The following graph shows the next resistance level:

Figure 3: eSignal Weekly Chart of Qatar Market for June 2016

Middle East Stock Markets – Qatar

Comparing to the last month, Middle East Stock Markets are bearish. The level of bearishness varies across the countries but Bahrain and Saudi have the most bearishness sentiment. Qatar and Oman are the most bullish markets. The following graphical views show the strategies of all timeframes for Gulf Region Markets for March and Feb 2016. They help us to identify the sentiment within one market and relatively to others.

Country	60	120	240	Daily	Weekly	Monthly
Kuwait
Dubai
Abu Dhabi
Saudi
Bahrain
Qatar
Oman

Figure 1: IchimokuTrade RT Scanner: Middle East Markets Heat Map for March 2016

Country	60	120	240	Daily	Weekly	Monthly
Kuwait
Dubai
Abu Dhabi
Saudi
Bahrain
Qatar
Oman

Figure 2: IchimokuTrade RT Scanner: Middle East Markets Heat Map for Feb 2016

Last month, the bullishness sentiment (Green Cells) covered almost all lower timeframes, swing and Daily. It affected also the weekly and monthly timeframe to be neutral and to start shifting from bearish to bullish. However, the green cells were reduced drastically in March 2016. Almost all timeframes covered with either red or amber, which means that Middle East markets started to reverse and go down. The best markets for bullish opportunities are Qatar according to figure no. 1.

Since Qatar is the most bullishness market, let’s go and have close look at it using our ichimoku analysis. The following graph shows the monthly timeframe.

Figure 3: eSignal Monthly Chart of Qatar Financial Market

Over the past four months, the market was consolidating between 10440 and 9480.  It went down all the way to 8331 in January 2016 but did not close at that level. It came back to close above 9480, which is a signal of strong support. Now it is facing a resistance, and there is high probability to break it since it is not multiple timeframe resistance and will go to test the next resistance at 11333. The probability of reaching that level will increase in May and June.

As for the weekly, there are two small windows to support the monthly timeframe to go to the next resistance. The first window started in middle of March and will end by last week of April. The second window is June 2016.  The bearish sentiment will increase in May pushing down the weekly timeframe to go down against the monthly. Weekly timeframe is now the controlling timeframe, whatever the weekly decides to do, will affect the destiny of the market. The following are the weekly timeframe graph

Figure 4: eSignal Weekly Chart of Qatar Market

In conclusion, weekly timeframe is the controlling timeframe. Whatever happens to the weekly, it will decide the market destiny. The market is currently consolidating between 10440 and 9480. There is a conflict between monthly and weekly especially in May. Therefore, there is a high probability that it will continue consolidating till end of May 2016. In June, weekly and monthly will be aligned supporting the market to go up to the next weekly resistance at 11205.